Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cosmos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Folgore are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Cosmos are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cosmos hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 66.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Campionato, while Cosmos holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cosmos
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Cosmos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00