Folgore Caratesevs
Treviso
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/17/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treviso · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Folgore Caratese 0-0 Treviso, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Folgore Caratese 0-2 Treviso
Original prediction
Treviso
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.4% | 26.6% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.4% | 32.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.2% | 40.8% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Folgore Caratese 0–0 Treviso
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Treviso
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Treviso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Folgore CarateseLLWDD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TrevisoLDWDD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Folgore CarateseTreviso
33.3Attack29.6
51.9Defence74.1
22.2Form48.1
38.8Power53.7
0.58xG0.85