GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 8/13/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

F91 Dudelange · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fola Esch are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while F91 Dudelange are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fola Esch hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the National Division, while F91 Dudelange holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

F91 Dudelange

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

F91 Dudelange has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fola EschLLWDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
F91 DudelangeWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fola EschF91 Dudelange
37.6Attack0.0
32.3Defence33.3
31.2Form0.0
36.4Power18.3
1.39xG1.61
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