Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Foggia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Foggia 0-0 Savoia
Original prediction
Foggia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.9% | 39.6% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 29.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.51 | 20.1% | 30.5% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Foggia
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Foggia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FoggiaLLDWL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SavoiaDWWLL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FoggiaSavoia
35.1Attack50.0
61.4Defence50.0
42.1Form50.0
47.8Power50.0
1.02xG0.98