Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fénix are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Claypole are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fénix hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.5% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
33.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40