Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fénix are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Canuelas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Canuelas hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20