Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skjetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fløya 2-2 Skjetten
Original prediction
Skjetten
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.1% | 37.2% | -21.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.3% | 24.3% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.37 | 20.6% | 38.4% | 17.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Skjetten
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Skjetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FløyaLWWLL
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
SkjettenLWLLD
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FløyaSkjetten
50.0Attack72.0
50.0Defence56.0
50.0Form57.3
50.0Power61.0
1.72xG2.53