GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 5/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fluminense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vitoria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

15.3%

Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FluminenseDLLWD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
VitoriaWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FluminenseVitoria
47.0Attack33.3
60.6Defence50.0
53.0Form39.4
56.1Power42.6
1.56xG0.69
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