Fluminensevs
Union Espanola
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/14/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fluminense are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union Espanola are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fluminense
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20