Fluminensevs
Palmeiras
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 10/15/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fluminense 0-0 Palmeiras, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fluminense 1-2 Palmeiras
Original prediction
Palmeiras
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 32.5% | 27.7% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 32.7% | 32.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 34.8% | 40.3% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Projected Score
Fluminense 0–0 Palmeiras
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FluminenseLWWLL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PalmeirasWWDLW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FluminensePalmeiras
36.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence70.0
43.3Form60.0
50.7Power61.6
0.68xG0.94