Fluminensevs
Once Caldas
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fluminense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Once Caldas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00