GGOALVIO

Fluminense logoFluminensevsLanus logoLanus

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World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/24/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fluminense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Lanus are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense

Probability

64.4%

Model confidence

64.4%

Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FluminenseWLLWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
LanusWWWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FluminenseLanus
53.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form50.0
67.4Power40.7
1.79xG0.53
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