GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/11/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Fluminense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense

Probability

78.6%

Model confidence

78.6%

Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FluminenseWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gualberto Villarroel SJWDWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FluminenseGualberto Villarroel SJ
53.3Attack28.6
83.3Defence28.6
66.7Form33.3
67.4Power33.2
2.38xG0.40
View match centre →