FluminensevsGremio

Fluminense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gremio are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.