Fluminensevs
Flamengo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fluminense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Flamengo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 66.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Serie A, while Flamengo holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00