GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 3/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fluminense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FluminenseWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico ParanaenseDLWWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FluminenseAtletico Paranaense
49.3Attack44.9
59.4Defence71.0
55.1Form59.4
57.2Power60.0
0.91xG1.00
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