GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/20/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fluminense are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while America de Cali are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FluminenseWWDDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
America de CaliLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FluminenseAmerica de Cali
53.3Attack38.1
83.3Defence71.4
66.7Form57.1
67.4Power57.9
1.17xG0.52
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