Fluminensevs
America de Cali
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/20/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fluminense are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while America de Cali are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fluminense
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40