Catarinense - 2Catarinense - 2
Wednesday, 22 July 202619:00Last updated 14:56
Fluminense-SC

Fluminense-SC

Home
DW
21
Full time
Tubarao

Tubarao

Away
LLW
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Fluminense-SC(33%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Fluminense-SC
33%
Draw
27%
Tubarao
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Fluminense-SC
54
Tubarao
73
Defence
Fluminense-SC
66
Tubarao
39
Momentum
Fluminense-SC
67
Tubarao
33
Danger (xG)
Fluminense-SC
1.35
Tubarao
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Fluminense-SC)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Tubarao)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Fluminense-SC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Tubarao)
1.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC
DW
TubaraoTubarao
LLWD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Fluminense-SC33%
Draw27%
Tubarao40%

Tubarao leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Fluminense-SC head into this in Catarinense - 2 fixture in mixed form (DW), while Tubarao arrive in mixed form (LLW). Fluminense-SC have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 33% for Tubarao over 3 games.

The model rates Fluminense-SC's attack at 54/100 against a 39/100 Tubarao defence, and Tubarao's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Fluminense-SC backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Fluminense-SC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Tubarao have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Fluminense-SC and Tubarao in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Fluminense-SC to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Fluminense-SC 3266%, Draw 2707%, Tubarao 4026%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Fluminense-SC

Fluminense-SC

D
vs Guarani de Palhoça
15 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Nação
12 Jul 2026
21
Tubarao

Tubarao

L
@ Caravaggio
15 Jul 2026
12
L
vs Metropolitano
12 Jul 2026
23
W
@ Jaraguá
1 Jul 2026
30
D
@ Nação
12 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao?

GoalVio's model predicts Fluminense-SC to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more