Catarinense - 2Catarinense - 2
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Fluminense-SC

Fluminense-SC

Home
DW
11
Full time
Guarani de Palhoça

Guarani de Palhoça

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Fluminense-SC(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Fluminense-SC
38%
Draw
35%
Guarani de Palhoça
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Fluminense-SC
54
Guarani de Palhoça
34
Defence
Fluminense-SC
66
Guarani de Palhoça
66
Momentum
Fluminense-SC
67
Guarani de Palhoça
33
Danger (xG)
Fluminense-SC
1.35
Guarani de Palhoça
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Fluminense-SC)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Guarani de Palhoça)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Fluminense-SC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Guarani de Palhoça)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC
DW
Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça
DD

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Fluminense-SC38%
Draw35%
Guarani de Palhoça27%

Fluminense-SC leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Fluminense-SC head into this in Catarinense - 2 fixture in mixed form (DW), while Guarani de Palhoça arrive in mixed form (D). Fluminense-SC have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Guarani de Palhoça over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Fluminense-SC (66/100) and Guarani de Palhoça (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Fluminense-SC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Guarani de Palhoça have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Fluminense-SC to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Fluminense-SC 3823%, Draw 3500%, Guarani de Palhoça 2677%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Fluminense-SC 0Draws 10 Guarani de Palhoça
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Fluminense-SC
D11
Guarani de Palhoça

Recent form

Fluminense-SC

Fluminense-SC

D
vs Guarani de Palhoça
15 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Nação
12 Jul 2026
21
Guarani de Palhoça

Guarani de Palhoça

D
@ Fluminense-SC
15 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Juventus SC
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?

GoalVio's model predicts Fluminense-SC to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more