Fluminense PIvs
Ferroviario
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fluminense PI are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ferroviario are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviario hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20