GGOALVIO

Malta · Premier League · 9/26/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Floriana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Floriana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Hibernians are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Floriana hold a 46.9-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Premier League, while Floriana holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Floriana

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Floriana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FlorianaWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
HiberniansWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
FlorianaHibernians
100.0Attack37.2
100.0Defence64.1
100.0Form44.9
97.0Power50.1
1.28xG0.78
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