GGOALVIO

Malta · Premier League · 9/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Floriana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Floriana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Birkirkara are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Floriana hold a 46.2-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Premier League, while Floriana holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Floriana

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Floriana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FlorianaWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
BirkirkaraWDLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FlorianaBirkirkara
100.0Attack35.9
100.0Defence65.4
100.0Form46.2
97.0Power50.8
1.24xG0.75
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