Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Florgrade · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Florgrade 0-0 Guarda, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Florgrade 1-0 Guarda
Original prediction
Florgrade
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Projected Score
Florgrade 0–0 Guarda
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Florgrade
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Florgrade has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FlorgradeDWLDL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
GuardaLDLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FlorgradeGuarda
30.8Attack33.3
69.2Defence61.5
42.3Form41.0
49.0Power46.8
0.77xG0.56