Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zimbru · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Floreşti are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Zimbru are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Zimbru hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Super Liga, while Zimbru holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zimbru
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20