Florestavs
Santa Cruz
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Floresta 0-0 Santa Cruz, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Floresta 1-1 Santa Cruz
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.6% | 30.3% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.65 | 34.1% | 35.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.4% | 33.8% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.65 · Draw 1.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Floresta 0–0 Santa Cruz
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FlorestaLWLWW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Santa CruzWWWDW
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
FlorestaSanta Cruz
34.8Attack34.8
66.7Defence77.3
50.0Form57.6
53.2Power59.0
0.52xG0.65