Florestavs
Botafogo PB
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Floresta 0-0 Botafogo PB, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Floresta 1-1 Botafogo PB
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.0% | 35.4% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 31.3% | 33.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.7% | 31.5% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.89 · Draw 1.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Floresta 0–0 Botafogo PB
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FlorestaDLWLW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Botafogo PBDLLLW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
FlorestaBotafogo PB
34.8Attack40.6
66.7Defence66.7
49.3Form49.3
52.9Power53.6
0.74xG0.74