Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Floresta are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Amazonas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.4 against 49.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40