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Floreat Athena logoFloreat AthenavsStirling Lions logoStirling Lions

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Australia · Western Australia NPL · 4/1/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stirling Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Floreat Athena are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Stirling Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stirling Lions hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Western Australia NPL, while Stirling Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stirling Lions

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Stirling Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Floreat AthenaWLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Stirling LionsWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Floreat AthenaStirling Lions
43.9Attack58.7
48.5Defence41.3
40.9Form42.9
46.0Power48.7
1.70xG1.72
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