GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Floreat Athena · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Floreat Athena are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Murdoch Melville are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Floreat Athena hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (71.5 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Floreat Athena holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Floreat Athena

Probability

83.9%

Model confidence

9.2%

Floreat Athena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Floreat AthenaDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Murdoch MelvilleDDDWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Floreat AthenaMurdoch Melville
79.4Attack56.7
65.1Defence30.0
73.0Form31.7
71.5Power41.7
4.03xG1.02
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