Flora Tallinnvs
Vaprus
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flora Tallinn 3-2 Vaprus
Original prediction
Flora Tallinn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 62.8% | 72.7% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.3% | 15.2% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 5.26 | 16.9% | 12.1% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Flora Tallinn
Probability
72.7%
Model confidence
72.7%
Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20