GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 3/14/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Flora Tallinn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Trans Narva are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora Tallinn hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.2% in the Meistriliiga, while Flora Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flora Tallinn

Probability

89.2%

Model confidence

89.2%

Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flora TallinnWDWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Trans NarvaLDWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Flora TallinnTrans Narva
66.7Attack25.8
65.0Defence24.2
65.0Form24.2
63.9Power27.5
3.62xG0.47
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