UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 8 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn

Home
LW
23
Full time
Saburtalo

Saburtalo

Away
DW
A. Le Coq Arena
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Flora Tallinn(28%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Saburtalo
Win probability
Flora Tallinn
28%
Draw
22%
Saburtalo
51%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Flora Tallinn
73
Saburtalo
86
Defence
Flora Tallinn
66
Saburtalo
27
Momentum
Flora Tallinn
50
Saburtalo
67
Danger (xG)
Flora Tallinn
1.80
Saburtalo
2.25
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Flora Tallinn)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Saburtalo)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Flora Tallinn)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Saburtalo)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn
LDLWW
SaburtaloSaburtalo
DWDWL

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Flora Tallinn28%
Draw22%
Saburtalo51%

Saburtalo leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Flora Tallinn head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at A. Le Coq Arena in mixed form (LW), while Saburtalo arrive in mixed form (DW). Flora Tallinn have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Saburtalo over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Flora Tallinn (73/100) and Saburtalo (86/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Flora Tallinn have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per home match. Saburtalo have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Saburtalo have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Flora Tallinn to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Flora Tallinn 2750%, Draw 2163%, Saburtalo 5088%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Flora Tallinn 0Draws 11 Saburtalo
Avg goals: 4.5BTTS in 2/2
14 Jul 2026
Flora Tallinn
D22
Saburtalo
8 Jul 2026
Flora Tallinn
L23
Saburtalo

Recent form

Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn

L
vs Nõmme United
17 Jul 2026
12
D
@ Saburtalo
14 Jul 2026
22
L
vs Saburtalo
8 Jul 2026
23
W
@ Kuressaare
2 Jul 2026
30
W
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
28 Jun 2026
21
Saburtalo

Saburtalo

D
vs Flora Tallinn
14 Jul 2026
22
W
@ Flora Tallinn
8 Jul 2026
32
D
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1 Jul 2026
22
W
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
27 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
16 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo?

GoalVio's model predicts Flora Tallinn to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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