Flora Tallinnvs
Paide
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flora Tallinn 1-2 Paide
Original prediction
Flora Tallinn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.1% | 48.7% | 13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.2% | 22.3% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.7% | 29.0% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Flora Tallinn
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40