MeistriliigaMeistriliiga
Sunday, 21 June 2026Last updated 10:11
Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn

Home
LW
12
Full time
Paide

Paide

Away
WD
A. Le Coq Arena
GoalVio prediction
76% confidence
Flora Tallinn(74%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction missed— Result: Paide
Win probability
Flora Tallinn
74%
Draw
16%
Paide
10%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Flora Tallinn
73
Paide
73
Defence
Flora Tallinn
66
Paide
82
Momentum
Flora Tallinn
50
Paide
67
Danger (xG)
Flora Tallinn
1.80
Paide
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Flora Tallinn)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Paide)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Flora Tallinn)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Paide)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn
LDLWW
PaidePaide
WDDWL

Probability breakdown

76% confidence
Flora Tallinn74%
Draw16%
Paide10%

Flora Tallinn leads with 74% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Flora Tallinn head into this in Meistriliiga fixture at A. Le Coq Arena in mixed form (LW), while Paide arrive in mixed form (WD). Flora Tallinn have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Paide over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Flora Tallinn (66/100) and Paide (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Flora Tallinn have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per home match. Paide have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Paide have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Flora Tallinn to win with 76% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Flora Tallinn 7430%, Draw 1550%, Paide 1020%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Flora Tallinn 0Draws 01 Paide
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
21 Jun 2026
Flora Tallinn
L12
Paide

Recent form

Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn

L
vs Nõmme United
17 Jul 2026
12
D
@ Saburtalo
14 Jul 2026
22
L
vs Saburtalo
8 Jul 2026
23
W
@ Kuressaare
2 Jul 2026
30
W
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
28 Jun 2026
21
Paide

Paide

W
vs Hegelmann Litauen
16 Jul 2026
30
D
@ Hegelmann Litauen
9 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Kalju Nomme
28 Jun 2026
11
W
@ Flora Tallinn
21 Jun 2026
21
L
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
17 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Flora Tallinn vs Paide?

GoalVio's model predicts Flora Tallinn to win with 76% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Flora Tallinn vs Paide?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Flora Tallinn vs Paide?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Flora Tallinn vs Paide?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more