GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 3/3/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Flora Tallinn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Laagri are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora Tallinn hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.9% in the Meistriliiga, while Flora Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flora Tallinn

Probability

70.9%

Model confidence

70.9%

Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flora TallinnDWWLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LaagriLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Flora TallinnLaagri
66.7Attack48.5
65.0Defence42.4
65.0Form37.9
63.9Power43.8
2.64xG0.88
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