Flora Tallinnvs
Kalju Nomme
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalju Nomme · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flora Tallinn 2-1 Kalju Nomme
Original prediction
Kalju Nomme
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.5% | 33.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 25.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.0% | 41.4% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Kalju Nomme
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40