Flora Tallinnvs
FC Levadia Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flora Tallinn 1-3 FC Levadia Tallinn
Original prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.21 | 17.2% | 20.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.3% | 21.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.43 | 62.6% | 58.3% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
FC Levadia Tallinn
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 22 · GA 1 · avg 4.40/0.20