Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Flora II are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Viimsi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Viimsi hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Esiliiga A, while Viimsi holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20