GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Flora II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flora IILWDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tartu WelcoLWDLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Flora IITartu Welco
81.8Attack97.0
40.9Defence54.5
56.1Form68.2
57.5Power70.4
2.40xG3.15
View match centre →