Esiliiga AEsiliiga A
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Flora II

Flora II

Home
DL
13
Full time
Maardu

Maardu

Away
LWD
Sportland Arena
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Draw(26%)
Win probability
Flora II
30%
Draw
26%
Maardu
45%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Flora II
54
Maardu
83
Defence
Flora II
27
Maardu
1
Momentum
Flora II
17
Maardu
44
Danger (xG)
Flora II
1.35
Maardu
2.10
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Flora II)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Maardu)
2.10
avg per match
xG against (Flora II)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Maardu)
3.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Flora IIFlora II
DLDD
MaarduMaardu
LWDLW

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Flora II30%
Draw26%
Maardu45%

Maardu leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Flora II head into this in Esiliiga A fixture at Sportland Arena in mixed form (DL), while Maardu arrive in mixed form (LWD). Flora II have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 33% for Maardu over 3 games.

The model rates Flora II's attack at 54/100 against a 1/100 Maardu defence, and Maardu's attack at 83/100 against a 27/100 Flora II backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Flora II have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Maardu have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per away game.

Maardu have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 45% confidence. Win probabilities: Flora II 2951%, Draw 2550%, Maardu 4499%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Flora II 0Draws 01 Maardu
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
9 Jul 2026
Flora II
L23
Maardu

Recent form

Flora II

Flora II

D
@ Nõmme United II
12 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Maardu
9 Jul 2026
23
D
@ Nõmme United II
30 Jun 2026
33
D
vs Nõmme United II
13 May 2026
22
Maardu

Maardu

L
vs Tartu Welco
13 Jul 2026
18
W
vs Flora II
9 Jul 2026
32
D
@ Tallinna Kalev
3 Jul 2026
33
L
@ Elva
11 Jun 2026
34
W
@ FCI Levadia II
16 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Flora II vs Maardu?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Maardu?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Flora II vs Maardu?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Flora II vs Maardu?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more