Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Flora II are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Maardu are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
8.2%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60