Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Flora II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Legion are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 25.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.2% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
85.2%
Model confidence
85.2%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00