GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 4/2/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

Flora II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JK Tabasalu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flora II

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

52.9%

Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flora IIWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JK TabasaluLLLWD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Flora IIJK Tabasalu
81.8Attack75.0
40.9Defence35.2
56.1Form50.9
57.5Power53.1
3.59xG2.49
View match centre →