GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/12/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Flora II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.8% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flora II

Probability

78.8%

Model confidence

78.8%

Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flora IILWWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC TallinnLDDLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Flora IIFC Tallinn
81.8Attack43.9
40.9Defence24.2
56.1Form36.4
57.5Power37.0
4.39xG1.40
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