Flénuvs
Union Saint-Gilloise II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Saint-Gilloise II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flénu 2-5 Union Saint-Gilloise II
Original prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.3% | 26.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.5% | 25.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.2% | 48.4% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Union Saint-Gilloise II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80