Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tubize · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flénu 0-4 Tubize
Original prediction
Tubize
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.38 | 20.5% | 24.3% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.2% | 23.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 56.3% | 52.3% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Tubize
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Tubize has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FlénuLLLLL
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TubizeLLWDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FlénuTubize
44.4Attack50.0
5.6Defence55.6
5.6Form61.1
22.5Power57.7
1.28xG2.18