Flénuvs
Olympic Charleroi
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympic Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flénu 3-4 Olympic Charleroi
Original prediction
Olympic Charleroi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.21 | 21.3% | 28.0% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.0% | 25.9% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 55.7% | 46.1% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Olympic Charleroi
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Olympic Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60