Flint Town Unitedvs
GAP Connah S Quay FC
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GAP Connah S Quay FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flint Town United 1-2 GAP Connah S Quay FC
Original prediction
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.68 | 19.3% | 18.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 21.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 56.8% | 59.7% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
GAP Connah S Quay FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60