Flint Town Unitedvs
Cardiff MET
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff MET · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Flint Town United 1-1 Cardiff MET
Original prediction
Cardiff MET
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.8% | 20.9% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 21.5% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.2% | 57.6% | 17.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff MET
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Cardiff MET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60