Fleury 91vs
Villefranche
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/5/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleury 91 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fleury 91 6-1 Villefranche
Original prediction
Fleury 91
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.5% | 41.8% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 28.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.5% | 29.5% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Fleury 91
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Fleury 91 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40